Command center · books as of 2026-10-19

Manila—:—:—
IN TRADE

Daily research

Wednesday, Sep 30, 2026

Wed 23:00 CLOSE / no new PLAN. Naked ETH ~+9.3% (~$2.52/~₱158). Cool PCE bids US mid-session; NFP rail binds. No fills.

IN TRADE
2026-09-072026-09-082026-09-092026-09-102026-09-112026-09-142026-09-152026-09-162026-09-182026-09-212026-09-222026-09-232026-09-242026-09-252026-09-262026-09-272026-09-282026-09-292026-09-302026-10-012026-10-022026-10-032026-10-042026-10-052026-10-062026-10-072026-10-092026-10-122026-10-132026-10-142026-10-152026-10-162026-10-19

01 Scout

Wed 23:00 CLOSE into NFP week: crypto flat-to-firm since 11:00 (BTC +0.5%, LINK −1.8% noise); US mid-session green on cool PCE. No A+ primary for new size while ETH stays naked. Prefer NO TRADE.
  • ETH naked mark $2,679.95 vs $2451.93 entry (~+9.3% / ~$+2.52 / ~₱158); SM/TP still waived.
  • US mid-session ~11:00 ET on cooler-than-expected Aug PCE (headline 3.4% vs ~3.7% exp, core 3.0% vs ~3.3% exp; 20:30 Manila): SPY +0.5% · QQQ +0.7% · AAPL +2.7% · MSFT $517.78 +1.7% · NVDA +1.6% · GOOGL $347.46 +1.9% · AMZN +2.1% · META −1.2% · TSLA −1.1%. Gotrade LT book ~$+1.87 — UNVERIFIED research marks; cash $0.
  • Crypto (Yahoo v8 + Binance SUI ~23:00 Manila, vs 11:00): BTC $83,779.82 +0.5% · ETH $2,679.95 +0.3% · SOL $118.96 −0.6% · XRP $1.4995 flat · BNB $767.28 +0.6% · LINK $14.213 −1.8% · SUI $1.1651 +0.3%.
  • Flat-to-firm drift — noise, not structure. Old waits (BTC $78–78.8k, XRP $1.33–1.36) expired Sep 11; no new armed wait. Satellites map-only.
  • Next: ISM-mfg Thu · NFP Fri Oct 2 20:30 Manila. NFP rail locked: no new Gotrade single-name; Coins new only if SM restored + A+.
  • Coins cash ₱147.49 < ₱800 floor anyway; naked ETH blocks new Coins.

Yahoo v8 ~23:00 Manila Sep 30 (crypto day bars + US live mid-session ~11:00 ET) · Binance SUIUSDT 24hr ~23:00 Manila · CNBC/Morningstar Aug PCE (headline 3.4%, core 3.0%; 20:30 Manila) · open.er-api.com USDPHP 62.60 (Sep 30 00:02 UTC)

02 Analyst

Map, not a ticket

HOLD open books into NFP Fri Oct 2. ETH-CPI-OVERRIDE still open/naked by jayr choice (~+9.3% / ~$+2.52). Gotrade MSFT+GOOGL = LT holds only (~$+1.87 combined at live mid-session marks) — UNVERIFIED, research-only. Cool Aug PCE (3.4%/core 3.0%) bid US but NFP still ahead. Prefer NO TRADE on new entries either book.

ETHwatch

Entry $2451.93 · mark $2,679.95 (~+9.3% / ~$+2.52 / ~₱158). Still naked (jayr waiver). +0.3% vs 11:00.

Invalidation: Mental $2378.37 only

BTCwatch

Primary map — $83,779.82 (+0.5% vs 11:00). Old $78–78.8k wait expired Sep 11. Drift, not structure. No new armed wait this packet.

Invalidation: No new PLAN without desk greenlight

XRPwatch

Primary map — $1.4995 (flat vs 11:00). Old $1.33–1.36 wait expired Sep 11. Noise into NFP week. No new armed wait this packet.

Invalidation: No new PLAN without desk greenlight

MSFTwatch

LT hold · mark $517.78 vs fill $495.57 (~$+0.89). Mid-session ~11:00 ET on cool PCE bid. Not a tactical exit PLAN. UNVERIFIED research mark.

GOOGLwatch

LT hold · mark $347.46 vs fill $335.2 (~$+0.98). Still green vs fill — not a REDUCE PLAN. UNVERIFIED research mark.

Wed 23:00 CLOSE tick: crypto flat-to-firm since 11:00 (BTC +0.5%, ETH +0.3%, XRP flat, LINK −1.8% scout noise). US mid-session green on cool Aug PCE (AAPL +2.7%, AMZN +2.1%, GOOGL +1.9%, MSFT +1.7%; META −1.2%, TSLA −1.1%). No new Coins while naked. Book-full Gotrade (cash $0). NFP Fri Oct 2 rail binds.

03 Risk

Do not add. Coins cash ₱147.49 below ₱800 sit-out for new clips anyway.

Rails: HOLD. New Coins blocked while naked (and NFP-week: SM+A+ required for any new Coins). Gotrade cash $0 / book full — NFP rail also blocks new single-name size. No A+ permission.

Fee-skip: Skip if fees ≥ ~⅓ edge — unchanged.

  • No new PLAN without A+ / jayr ask
  • No new Coins entries while naked
  • NFP / first-Friday window: no new Gotrade single-name size
  • Gotrade book full — prefer NO TRADE on new entries
  • Kill switch: 1 loser or −₱400 day (Coins) still on

04 Desk

HOLD / NO NEW PLAN. ETH naked ~+9.3% (~$+2.52 / ~₱158). Gotrade LT book ~$+1.87 at live mid-session marks (MSFT ~+$0.89, GOOGL ~+$0.98) — UNVERIFIED research-only. Wed 2026-09-30 23:00 Manila CLOSE tick.
  • →Prefer NO TRADE on new entries into NFP Fri Oct 2
  • →No broker browser this run — marks from Yahoo v8 API + Binance SUI only (cron rails, no browser_exec)

Next open
Thu 07:00 scout (ISM-mfg Thu, NFP Fri Oct 2 20:30 Manila) — reassess only on jayr ask / clean A+ with SM restored on Coins; NFP rail in force through Fri.