Calls scorecard

Predictions

Technical-analysis forecasts with invalidation. Graded right or wrong over time — never a guaranteed outcome.

Not a guarantee

Scenario calls with invalidation — not guaranteed predictions. Graded HIT / MISS / EXPIRED after the horizon. Cancelled and expired do not enter the hit rate. A wait zone is a map, not a ticket.

Ledger 2026-10-16

Open / live

2 / 2

10 calls on the ledger

Hit rate

0 HIT · 2 MISS · n=2

Avg conv · HIT

n/a

Conviction 1–10 on hit_target only

Avg conv · MISS

2.0

Conviction 1–10 on invalidated only

SymbolStatusBook

Open calls

Coins.ph · event · analyst

BTC

OPENprimary

NONE into CPI print. Post-only wait $74.8–75.8k after events — not a pre-print bid.

Direction

long wait

Entry

$74.8k–$75.8k

Target

—

Inv px

$74.0k

Invalidation: Any resting bid or chase into the CPI candle; or lose structure under the post-print map

Conviction3/10

Coins.ph · event · desk

ETH

LIVEprimary

ETH-CPI-OVERRIDE still LIVE/naked into FOMC decision. Entry $2451.93 · mark ~$2409 (~−1.8%). SM/TP waived by jayr — no nag. New Coins entries still blocked.

Direction

breakout

Entry

$2.5k–$2.5k

Target

$2.6k

Inv px

$2.4k

Invalidation: Mental $2378 only — Stop-Market NOT resting. Elevated binary risk into CPI print. Restore Sell→Stop-Market @ $2378.37 when jayr asks.

Conviction3/10

Coins.ph · event · analyst

XRP

OPENprimary

Zone $1.33–1.36 live but post-CPI only if cool + reclaim. No resting bid into print.

Direction

long wait

Entry

$1.33–$1.36

Target

$1.41 / $1.44

Inv px

$1.29

Invalidation: Resting bid into CPI, or lose ~$1.29–1.32 structure

Conviction4/10

Coins.ph · event · analyst

XRP

LIVEprimary

Alt primary wait $1.33-1.36. Hit/in-zone unfilled into CPI.

Direction

long wait

Entry

$1.33–$1.36

Target

$1.41 / $1.44

Inv px

$1.28

Invalidation: Chase at $1.42 into CPI, or lose the 1.33 wait structure

Conviction4/10

Closed calls

Opened	Symbol	Outcome	Levels	Conv	Note
2026-09-08	BTC Coins.ph	EXPIRED	$78.0k–$78.8k	3	HIT entry zone then EXPIRED/below. Zone print /= fill into CPI binary.
2026-09-08	BNB Coins.ph	MISS	$728–$737	2	MISS/below scout. Not PLAN-eligible.
2026-09-08	LINK Coins.ph	MISS	$12.50–$12.65	2	MISS/below scout. Not PLAN-eligible.
2026-09-08	SUI Coins.ph	CANCELLED	—	6	Cancelled at the open - no scenario, no clip.
2026-09-08	MACRO Macro	EXPIRED	—	6	FOMC +25bps done. Stance expires as event map - open books remain IN_TRADE HOLD; no auto-arm for new size.
2026-09-28	MACRO Macro	EXPIRED	—	7	NFP soft (+29k / U 4.2%) printed 20:30 Manila. Event map expires - open books stay IN_TRADE HOLD; no auto-arm. Prefer NO TRADE into weekend; Mon reassess on jayr ask / A+.