Command center · books as of 2026-10-19

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IN TRADE

Daily research

Tuesday, Sep 15, 2026

FOMC day 1 EOD — HOLD / no new PLAN through Wed. ETH naked ~-0.39% vs entry. Gotrade LT still green vs fill.

IN TRADE
2026-09-072026-09-082026-09-092026-09-102026-09-112026-09-142026-09-152026-09-162026-09-182026-09-212026-09-222026-09-232026-09-242026-09-252026-09-262026-09-272026-09-282026-09-292026-09-302026-10-012026-10-022026-10-032026-10-042026-10-052026-10-062026-10-072026-10-092026-10-122026-10-132026-10-142026-10-152026-10-162026-10-19

01 Scout

FOMC day 1: hike ~90% priced for +25bps Wed. Dots + Warsh presser matter more than the print.
  • Hike odds ~90% for +25bps Wed (to 3.75–4.00%) — largely priced; ~85% economist consensus.
  • Watch dots + Warsh presser for whether one hike becomes a cycle.
  • Crypto soft into evening: BTC ~$76,406 (below $78–78.8k wait; above post-only $74.8–75.8k), ETH ~$2442.48, XRP ~$1.4058 (above $1.33–1.36 wait).
  • Agree HOLD / no new PLAN; naked ETH = event risk by jayr choice until he asks otherwise.

Desk EOD publish 2026-09-15 · Coinbase spot + CNBC US tape · Newsquawk / Reuters FOMC preview

02 Analyst

Map, not a ticket

HOLD through Wed decision. Gotrade LT still green vs fill but softer on the day. ETH-CPI-OVERRIDE still open/naked — no new Coins scored calls while naked.

ETHwatch

Entry $2451.93 · mark ~$2442.48 (-0.39%, ~$-0.10). Still naked into FOMC (jayr leave-naked).

Invalidation: Mental $2378 only — SM not resting by choice

BTCwatch

Last ~$76,406. Post-CPI wait $74.8–75.8k still map-only; old $78–78.8k expired. Not armed into FOMC.

Invalidation: Any resting bid / chase into Wed decision

XRPwatch

Last ~$1.4058 above wait band — sit, not a ticket into FOMC.

Invalidation: Resting bid into decision or lose ~$1.29–1.32 structure

MSFTwatch

LT hold fill $495.57 → mark ~$499.10 (+0.71%, ~$+0.14). Not a short-horizon PLAN.

GOOGLwatch

LT hold fill $335.20 → mark ~$344.27 (+2.71%, ~$+0.72). Not a short-horizon PLAN.

No Coins adds while naked. Book full on Gotrade. Soft crypto evening ≠ permission.

03 Risk

Do not add either book. Manual ETH manage only if jayr asks.

Rails: HOLD. New Coins entries blocked while naked (jayr leave-naked — no SM nag). Gotrade cash $0 / book full — no new Gotrade PLANs. Through Wed decision.

Fee-skip: Unchanged when a post-FOMC A+ appears.

  • No new PLAN through FOMC Wed decision
  • No new Coins entries while naked
  • Gotrade book full — no new stock PLANs

04 Desk

HOLD / NO NEW PLAN through Wed FOMC decision. ETH naked by jayr choice. Gotrade LT holds filled, book full.
  • →Publish Tue EOD DailyPacket on Vision
  • →Do not push SM restore unless jayr asks
  • →Keep new Coins entries blocked while naked

Next open
After Wed FOMC decision + presser — reassess only on jayr ask / A+.